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Radio For
the 2lst Century |
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 (2-3-08)NOMINATIONS MAY NOT BE DECIDED ON SUPER TUESDAY - Even with the race on the Democratic ticket down to two competitors and McCain and Romney showing strength in vote getting, the 24 states that caucus and vote on Tuesday, Feb. 5 may not give any of the candidates enough delegates. Most places on Tuesday have proportional to the vote rules, so if a candidate gets 50 percent of the vote, he or she gets 50 percent of the delegates. The winner does not take all. The candidate who comes in second will continue to amass delegates. The candidate who comes in first has to win by overwhelming margins in order to get to a majority quickly. For instance on the Democratic side of the ballot, Hillary Clinton nor Barack Obama will likely get a huge majority of votes, the race is too close to call nationally by most pollsters. In California and many places, congressional districts are the boundaries for votes and delegates, in other words if Hillary wins San Bernardino and Obama wins Riverside County, then they each get delegates to complicate things in places like California may congressional districts have been designed for local strengths of the present congressional seat holder, hence, like modern broadcasting, campaigning seems to be demographically important for the delegate count just as it is in our business for advertising sales. Our election page will feature a special emphasis Tuesday night on delegates and who gets what areas of support. Jerry Pippin |
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(10:00 pm ET,
January 31, 2008) - Both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton looked
like they could work together. The crowd thought it was
a great idea with huge applause when the idea was
suggested in a question by moderator
Wolf Blitzer about a Clinton/Obama or an
Obama/Hillary ticket. Both candidates got good reaction
and little if any friction was noticed in the almost two
hour head-to-head confrontation. It was a deep contrast
from last night's often contentious debate between the
candidates.
Hillary got a great line out
of a negative question from a viewer, about the past
three decades of being Bush and Clinton and no
other choices for voters, she smiled and said basically
it took a Clinton to get rid of a Bush and now another
Clinton will get rid of another Bush. Huge consensus
building for a co-ticket in November. However it is not
clear how this "love in" will be accepted by the voters
on Tuesday.
It does appear that the
damage of the differences between progressives and
establishment in the Democratic party will be put aside
for a victory in November. Actual vote totals will be
watched carefully on Super Tuesday. Will the Democrats
still continue to out-number the Republican voters this
year?
Jerry Pippin
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Mike Huckabee showed his coolness under fire and was
able to capitalize on the fact that the CNN panel seem to be
ignoring him on many of the questions. His answer putting
down the tax rebate as a cure for the economy seemed to make
sense to many as he pushed for investment in infra
structure. Romney countered with the fact that they need
the cash now into the economy and people spending it;
a frank admission that the Republican economic plans depend
on heavy consumer spending. McCain escaped unchallenged
when he said criminal charges should be filed against
mortgage bankers and other financial institutions for faulty
policy which is ironic since he was involved in the Savings
and Loan scam and part of the Keating five in the 70s which
at that time caused the biggest government bailout of
financial interest in history.
Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger
is set to endorse McCain tomorrow. In
California, unlike
Florida, several candidates can win delegates as each
county awards delegates according to vote totals. Huckabee
said he will return to
Arkansas Tuesday for the primaries and seemed to be
quite positive about still being in the race after Super
Tuesday. Tomorrow night on Sunset Blvd. the two remaining
Democratic hopefuls will face off one on one in another CNN
sponsored debate.
Jerry Pippin
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The Republicans debated
in California at the Reagan library while outside the
world was crumbling -
Tsunami alert sounded as strong Earth Quake rocks
Indonesia's Maluku.
Shell's 'obscene' £13.4billion profit breaks British record Earnings Preview: Exxon Mobil 4Q to Rise to record high earnings, report out tomorrow. |
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1:00 p.m. (EST) Edwards sounded
like a trouper last night at the Union Hall in
Minneapolis but just hours later he was telling friends
and certain reporters he was through. The fact he changed his
schedule to return to
New Orleans should have been a tip off.
New Orleans was where he announced his campaign for
President.
Everyone including Edwards probably
thought he would be a king maker at the convention, but
circumstances seem to go against Edwards and
Florida for him was a reality check just as it was for
former Mayor of New York Rudy Giuliani. Edwards needs 16 per
cent of the vote to get delegates and he fell just short of that
mark. It is true that
Florida was not allowed to count their delegates but
realistically, it was a good test market as they say in the
advertising world. Edwards did not make it.
He will not endorse either Obama or
Clinton and it is not clear who his voters will embrace. It
is an interesting time and things will be working hard, fast and
furious at least thru Super Tuesday next week in the world of
politics.
Jerry Pippin
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Giuliani Will Endorse McCain
11:00 p.m. Eastern, 1-29-08 - Watching his hopes crumble like the walls of the high twin towers in his home city, Rudy Giuliani pulled himself together to tell reporters he would be endorsing John McCain in an event in California on Wednesday shortly before the GOP debate at the Ronald Reagan Library. In a fast role reversal of fortunes, the former Mayor who was at one time believed to be the front runner faded fast in the sunshine of Florida. McCain who was considered washed up just a few months back as far as the Presidential race seemed to come back into favor even with conservative Republican voters who, according to exit polling chose McCain over former governor Mitt Romney. This despite the fact McCain had publicly stated the economy was not his strong suit in politics.
Romney seemed determined to
continue with a forceful speech tonight that urged
people not to send the same old group back to Washington
only in"different chairs."
The raw vote totals
showed McCain with a good but not decisive win.
With 95 per cent of the vote 35 per cent of the
votes went for the Arizona Senator, 31 per cent for
Romney and Giuliani barely bested fourth place
finisher Mike
Huckabee by getting only 15 per cent of the
vote.
On the Democratic side
of the slate tonight,
Hillary Clinton won 55 per cent,
Barack Obama 33 per cent and Edwards 14 per
cent. According to party rules, Edwards would need
16 per cent of the vote to get delegates if they are
awarded in
Florida. Edwards was quoted tonight in
Minneapolis as saying he intends to stay in
the race and his state chair noted that Edwards
could get enough delegates to deprive both Obama and
Clinton of getting the nomination on the first
ballot. The word "kingmaker" has been used in
describing Edwards ambitions recently by pundits.
It appears the Republican
race might not be decided before the convention and
there is still a chance the same will occur in the
Democratic race for the President.
Jerry Pippin
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Democratic Politics at play with
GOP getting all of the attention in Florida
- Hillary shows muscle in beauty contest, winning half of the
the votes in
Florida tonight. Edwards hangs in at third but has more
than the 16 per cent required to pick up delegates if Clinton
manages to get delegates seated from
Michigan and
Florida at the Convention in
Denver this summer.
This note from MA on the road in St. Paul-
Jerry,
The campaign of John "Edwards made a stop for
votes in
St
Paul tonight.The event at a local labour hall draw 500 supporters. Most of them were middle of the road democrats. B H Obama has more people on the ground than any candidate in the history of american elections. The money is just rolling in since SC. CLICK HERE for Obama 's answer to Bush State of Union Speech from last night. |
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 HEADLINE-
Biggest turnout yet for
GOP in
Florida, a million estimated voters (8:50 p.m. 1-29-08)Florida GOP Primary shows close race with almost half of the votes counted, McCain slightly ahead of Romney all night. Giuliani trailing badly. For Radio coverage live from WINZ AM in Miami CLICK HERE. Live video from various Campaign headquarters CLICK HERE National Democratic Party says they will not honor delegate count in Florida, but Clinton says she will try to get them seated at the convention as well as Michigan where early primary was disallowed as well by national party. If Florida counts, Edwards will have enough votes to get delegates, he needs 16 percent, he has close to 18 percent. Huckabee is in Minnesota tonight but he just held a photo op where he vows that he is just getting started. Huckabee will finish fourth in Florida behind Giuliani. Huckabee is leaving for California tonight. For coverage from WOKV in Jacksonville, Florida CLICK HERE |
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Gender, Race, Liberals
Divided on Support of Candidates
(01-28-08) - Bush with last speech scheduled before joint houses of congress faces lack luster interests and the buzz is all about the Kennedys supporting Obama, and Hillary and her husband, former President Clinton's campaign tactics. Coming this weekend on the Jerry Pippin Show evidence that Republican dirty tricks may well be in play to divide the Democratic party's two strongest groups, women and blacks. |
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South Carolina
Primary Wrap-up - In this
program recorded for release at Midnight Central time,
Sunday,1-27-08, Jerry presents an overview of the South Carolina
Primary with the complete speeches of all three Democratic
Candidates, first Hillary from
Nashville, then Edwards pledging to go forward to the
convention and a dynamic speech of victory by Obama pushing the
change theme which was the number one voter wish in the exit polling
tonight. Change, the economy, health insurance, and ending the war
in Iraq were the hot-button issues in that order. |
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99 percent of the precincts reporting:
Barack Obama - 295,091
Hillary Clinton - 141,128
John Edwards - 93,552
Race and Gender played a big part in today's South Carolina vote - 3 out of 4 supporters of Obama thought it was time for a black to be President and the same ratio of Clinton supporters thought it was time for a woman to be President.
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Here is the delegate count, counting Super
Delegates for the conventions so far.
This is the CBS news count: 1-26-08 (www.cbsnews.com)
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A Look Back at the
Primary Season ....
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Former Massachusetts Gov.
Mitt Romney beats McCain by 39 percent to 30 percent.
Huckabee came in third with 16 percent of the vote. On the
Democratic Side,
Hillary Clinton received 53 per cent of the vote,
Kucinich 4 per cent, the rest went to an uncommitted slate
of delegates.
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At least that is the underlying message I am
getting after three contests, Republican voters are not engaged,
huge differences in turn out between Democrats and Republicans and
no where was it more obvious than tonight in
Michigan.
John McCain won this state in 2000 largely due to over half
of the votes cast for him that year being in the open primary there,
from Democrats and Independents. Tonight it didn't happen. In fact
voting appears to be light in turn out, only about 20 per cent of
the electorate and those Republicans that did vote voted for a
Republican ideology,
Governor Mitt Romney. It was a must win for Romney and he
pulled it out in his state where his father was Governor.
The right wing Christian element was not strong
in
Michigan, Huckabee did close to 20 per cent of the vote but
trailed McCain and Romney badly.
Ron Paul got single digits and actually had given up on
Michigan and had appeared in
Las Vegas tonight, the night of the Democratic Debate
sponsored by NBC news who shut out
Dennis Kucinich in a last minute hearing before the Nevada
Supreme Court. The big story on the debate was it was a "love in"
with only Edwards swearing he had not taken I Street Lobbying money
ever. All three appeared Presidential and no one mentioned Kucinich
who was barred from the debate by
NBC with silent consent of the Democratic party elite.
In a contest in
Michigan Hillary won easily but she was unopposed by Edwards
and Obama who asked their names be taken off the ballot. The
Democratic party refused to allow delegates to be selected in this
primary. Not the case on Saturday when
Nevada has a caucus with Edwards, Obama and Hillary all
within the margin of error. It could be anybody's guest who will
get the most delegates despite Obama's endorsement by the Culinary
Union.
Jerry Pippin
11:00 p.m.
01-15-08
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Florida poll released on
01-14-08 shows GOP race very tight in
Florida with McCain with slim
lead. All four candidates Romney, McCain, Huckabee and Rudy all
around 20 percent. 22 per cent for McCain and 18 per cent for
Romney.
Florida primary will be held later this month. Experts
think this could be the end to the Giuliani campaign if he loses
in
Florida.
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 Kucinich
Wants a Recount of
New Hampshire VotesSays he will pay the money to be certain the votes were counted, he does not expect to win or even get many more votes than he has, it is a matter principal a campaign spokesman told us tonight, "Lots of rumors about rigged votes, we just want to verify the vote. We owe it to America and Democracy." Recount could take weeks, Kucinich campaign will pay for it. |
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The pundits were shocked, the pollsters were
embarrassed and the race started making sense to me finally. In our
discussions with our election unit consultant, MA, we finally agreed
the tracking polls were outdated, the information was volatile,
changing by the hour. Hillary was attacked by the press,
Senator Obama made an error in judgment in the debate by
trying to joke about Hillary being likeable and it came off
mean-spirited but mostly it was the tug of the heart strings as
Hillary the iron-willed maiden of politics acted like a woman with
tears and a soft voice saying she just wanted to win for her
country's sake. At the last minute her initial campaign tactic came
to rescue her, the female vote. 47 per cent of the women voted for
Mrs. Clinton and only 30 per cent of the men.
Some things are remaining constant, Obama can win
South Carolina where 50 per cent of the Democrats are black,
or can he?
John Edwards remains a player but not a winner yet, waiting
for, as Mrs. Clinton's husband Bill said today about Obama's claims
of not being the establishment, "give me a break." Anything can
happen and probably will before Super Tuesday on Feb.7th. On the GOP
side McCain looks like a winner now; no Bush tactics to swift boat
him ahead, his main opponent Huckabee is more of a gentleman than
Dubya and only the fact that Mayor Rudy may indeed fade away with
nemesis of the establishment
Ron Paul getting as much or more play by the voting public.
It will be an interesting four-plus weeks for
sure.
Jerry Pippin
10:50 p.m. Central (01-08-08) |
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www.shopjerrypippin.com Adventures in Internet Merchandising |
Windows
media version Part 1 
(02-02-08)
- Romney Big Winner
in Maine GOP Caucus
GENDER
AND RACE on Same Ticket Hangs Out as Prospect After Debate
9:15
p.m. (1-29-08) Rudy faces reality in
the Sun, loses
(2:00
p.m. ET- 1-29-08) Republican
(1-26-08) Raw Vote Totals Tell the Story in
Fred's
Hopes for a Presidency Are Dead
Michigan Results for the
Tonight's
Big Story is No One Wants to Vote Republican This Year!
No one covers politics like we do at the
Jerry Pippin Show
Obama
forces want voting to be in work place?
MAMA
what happened to OBAMA? 
