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McCain wins Florida in close race, Rudy Giuliani trails badly. He is expected to withdraw before tomorrow night's  debate.  Romney speaking tonight shows determination to go ahead and challenge the others for the race. "We have to stop sending the same people back to Washington just to sit in different chairs." -  a paraphrase from Romney speaking before his supporters.  
Hillary won about half the votes in the Democratic primary but the national committee says they will not honor the delegates because of the early primary before Super Tuesday.

Huge Black Turnout puts Obama over the top in South Carolina. CBS and other news organizations have projected Senator Barack Obama the winner.   

Many of the news organizations are now saying Hillary will be second with Edwards third. Exit polling show 89 per cent of all voters wanted change and thought the economy needed help badly. Only 11 per cent in South Carolina thought the economy was doing okay or fair. The War came in third behind the health insurance issue. CLICK HERE for frequent reports from AP, CBS Radio and CNN Radio as well as pundits in the nation's capitol- This page will be updated often tonight and Jerry plans a wrap-up report podcast later this evening. 

EDWARDS Faces Last Hurrah with Very Low Support in Nevada - Is He Toast?                        
 

Huge Turnout Expected in South Carolina for Democratic Primary Today
(12:30 PM Central Time 1-26-08-) Early exit polls and political discussion from South Carolina show that Edwards is moving up in vote totals projected while Obama and Hillary are locked in a battle with casualties being lost votes to John. 350,000 expected turnout is a hundred thousand more than last time or almost a third more voters.

A note from our election consultant MA: 
"Jerry,  The race in South Carolina is too close to call.  Edwards is closing fast. Race and Gender are issues this time. Could be the most devisive since G.C. Wallace and Barry Goldwater. You know Mrs. Clinton supported Goldwater."
Jerry - "MA that was because Hillary was a good Republican because of her family the Rodhams of Illinois, but then things changed when she met Bill."

Chrissie Blaze and Jerry discuss the candidates and Super Tuesday.

MP3 - Running time: 20 minutes, 40 seconds  Windows media version

Election 2008 edges toward Super Tuesday Primary as field is narrowed down with Hillary taking the prize in Nevada and McCain coming up on top in South Carolina. Duncan Hunter drops out and John Edwards is down and out with small total vote in Nevada. Click Here for election delegate totals and to hear Jerry's wrap-up of the Primary/Caucus story.

SOUTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PRIMARY COVERAGE  

Click Here for WTOP radio in Washington - Frequent reports from CBS radio, AP Radio and CNN radio plus DC election analysis by your favorite pundits.

HILLARY WINS BIG IN NEVADA
Not so fast. When you count delegates today in Nevada, there were 25 at stake, Mrs. Clinton got 13 and Mr. Obama got 12..Edwards was shut out! Mrs. Clinton showed surprising strength this afternoon in the Democratic Caucuses in Nevada.  Wrap up from Jerry recorded at 3:55 Central (01-18-08)   MP3 - Running time: 1 minute, 54 seconds  Windows media version

81% of votes counted, as follows:
Clinton - 5,221 - 51%
Obama - 4,637 - 45%
Edwards - 388 - 4%
Uncommitted - 31 - 0%  -- Kucinich - 4 - 0%
Gravel - 0 - 0% --Biden - 0 - 0%

Meanwhile Court action continues to play a part in the Saturday Caucus today as U.S. District Court Judge James Mahan ruled in favor of Barack Obama. The Judge said the nine at-large Caucus locations inside Las Vegas Casinos are legal.  Obama had been endorsed by the union representing many of the shift workers who will be able to use the precincts on the Las Vegas strip.     

Jerry Pippin

8:30 p.m. 1-16-08

John McCain projected winner in South Carolina, 80 per cent of the vote giving McCain a 3 per cent lead. Huckabee running close. Fred Thompson is not going to quit after all because he did finish third after all. However those close to the candidate say it may happen soon.  Click Here for details of the Democratic  caucus where Senator Clinton won, with Obama coming in Second. Edwards had a poor showing getting only 4 per cent of the votes today. He is expected to try to stay for the week so he can compete in his home state South Carolina and the Democratic primary next week.Click Here for delegate counts and other election news.

Complete wrap-up New Hampshire Primary and what it means - Listen to Jerry Pippin's overview, recorded 1:15 am Central 01-09-08 MP3 - Running time: 3 minutes, 42 seconds  Windows media version.    Click Here to read Jerry's column about the outcome and the upcoming Presidential races plus see the latest delegate totals and other information

McCain declared winner in New Hampshire GOP primary, Hillary and Obama in a tight race, Edwards and Kucinich vow to stay to play.
NPR election coverage live stream.

 

 

 

Live Caucus coverage from KLAS-TV in Las Vegas. Hillary Clinton in an early lead with one fourth of the precincts reporting, Obama fairly far behind and Edwards and Kucinich barely registering with vote counts at this time.

 

 

Mitt Romney wins in Nevada for the Republicans. In South Carolina, it appears to be a two-way race in the cold, the rain and the snow in some areas between Huckabee and McCain in the Republican primary voting which is moderate in turnout.  Meanwhile back in Las Vegas, Obama gets the union endorsement, Edwards is still punching away and Hillary has her husband campaigning hard. Click Here for podcast mp3 of KDWN Las Vegas morning news feature and interview with former President Bill Clinton

EVERYBODY PROJECTS JOHN McCAIN winner in New Hampshire, ABC,NBC, CNN, NPR..and others... Ron Paul might beat Mayor Rudy..and Hillary is not out..tighter than a tick says New Hampshire Democratic operative. Click here for election coverage:
All the Paper Ballots May be Gone before the Polls Close
 
New Hampshire Deputy Secretary of State Dave Scanlan told ABC News that turnout among primary voters today is "absolutely huge" -- and there are concerns about running out of ballots in towns like Portsmouth, Keene, Hudson and Pelham.  Democratic ballots especially are running in short supply. Undeclared voters are breaking for the Democrats according to our internal reports at JerryPippin.com. New Hampshire Secretary of State William Gardner predicted that 90,000 undeclared voters would vote in the Democratic primary compared to 60,000 voting in the Republican primary.
 
Exit polls show races are closer than expected, Clinton may not lose by a large margin. MA in our internal polling declare Obama,
Hold on Mama..lets wait and see, what will be. MA goes with McCain, Pip says lets see if Paul can beat Mayor Rudy.

MA reports more on changes in Clinton staff:
Maggie Williams, a longtime Hillary Clinton confidante, is reportedly being brought on to coordinate the campaign's activities. Insiders have urged campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle to stay on, but no decision has been made, according to senior-level campaign operatives.
Delegate totals (Iowa and New Hampshire)
CLINTON: 24
OBAMA: 25 EDWARDS: 18

Republican Delegates
MCCAIN:  7
ROMNEY:  19
HUCKABEE: 31
GULIANI: 1

RED: Winner of New Hampshire Primary, 01/08/08

 

 

Hillary 's raw vote totals have led all night, in one precinct she lead Obama by 2 votes, another 18, and so on. What happened to the pollsters? How did they miss? Bill says they are picking on his wife and he says "Come on, get real!"

 

MA 's latest inter office dispatch:

This is the CNN Exit Poll.
It is about 1%
I have had problems with tracking polls day long.

Obama 36%
Clinton 39%

The votes are coming from rural areas.

M A

HRC Obama JRE Richardson Kucinich
Male 43% 29 44 18 7 2
Female 57% 45 36 14 3 1
Net 38.12 39.44 15.72 4.72 1.43

NEW HAMPSHIRE RETURNS -
12 Midnight Dixville Notch, N.H. - First precinct to report - Democrats: Barack Obama 7,John Edwards 2, Bill Richardson 1. Republicans: John McCain 4, Mitt Romney 2;Rudy Giuliani 1.
Note - Only one registered Democrat voted in this precinct, most were Independents.

INTERNAL MEMO Jan 8, 2008- From MA ( http://malkabir.blogspot.com/)
OBAMA MAMA - he could run away with it?
On GOP side tight race but Ron Paul could tie or surpass Mayor RUDY.
 
New Hampshire Primary Prediction - Using the same method we used to predict the results of the Iowa caucuses, we have made predictions of the results of the New Hampshire primaries. We used data from all New Hampshire state polls taken since the beginning of the year and performed linear regressions on the data for each candidate, with time as the independent variable (x) and percentage support as the dependent variable (y). Then we computed the value of the least-squares fit line at x=8, corresponding to January 8, the date of the primaries. Here are our results:

Republicans Predicted percentage votes
John McCain 34.9%
Mitt Romney  30.2%
Mike Huckabee 11.6%
Rudy Giuliani  8.4%
Ron Paul     7.3%
Fred Thompson 2.8%

Democrats Predicted percentage votes
Barack Obama   45.1%
Hillary Clinton    25.8%
John Edwards    20.4%
Bill Richardson    5.2%
Dennis Kucinich   2.0%

We also made the following predictions using data from after January 3, the date of the Iowa
caucuses. These predictions are probably more accurate because they reflect voters' sentiments
following the caucuses. Note that our revised prediction shows Romney beating McCain. This is most
likely due to the fact that McCain did poorly in the Iowa caucuses, so New Hampshire voters may be
less likely to vote for him. Also, although Obama still shows a commanding lead over Cliton, it is
somewhat smaller than in our original prediction. This may be due to the fact that the linear
regression we computed using data from before the Iowa caucus has skewed the regression upwards,
since the caucus results have greatly increased his popularity.

Republicans Predicted percentage votes
Mitt Romney  30.5%
John McCain  29.2%
Mike Huckabee 12.9%
Rudy Giuliani   9.0%
Ron Paul      6.0%
Fred Thompson 3.9%

Democrats Predicted percentage votes
Barack Obama   42.7%
Hillary Clinton    24.1%
John Edwards    17.8%
Bill Richardson    8.4%
Dennis Kucinich   2.6%

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jerrypippin.comipodshows ArchivesINDEX PAGE